In a Nutshell
The National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) outline the EU member states’ 2021-2030 strategy to meet the 2030 energy and climate targets. The Regulation on the governance of the energy union and climate action (EU) 2018/1999, adopted in 2018, requires member states to regularly submit NECPs and update them. It also sets the EU Commission review process of the plans.
Member states outline how they will address energy efficiency, renewables, greenhouse gas emissions reductions, interconnections, and research and innovation in their NECP. A common template is used to facilitate transborder collaboration and efficiency gains.
So far, the 2030 climate and energy targets aim for at least 55% of greenhouse gas emissions reductions, 32% of renewable energy within the total energy production mix and 32.5% improvement in energy efficiency. The Fit-for-55 package called for more ambitious targets, some of which are still under review, including a 42.5% share of renewable energy within the Renewable Energy Directive.
The current versions of the NECPs, submitted at the end of 2019, massively overlook the role of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in their ability to achieve their targets. None of the 27 plans include targets for CDR, nor do they take into consideration novel carbon removal methods. Even conventional CDR methods such as afforestation or soil carbon sequestration are not properly addressed in the majority of NECPs.
This is concerning. To reach the scale of removals needed to reach net zero emissions by 2050, CDR capacities must be scaled up now. Member states should seize the opportunity to include CDR in their NECPs. In parallel, the inclusion of CDR in the 2040 targets would set the course until 2050.
What's on the Horizon?
- As set by the Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action, member states must have submitted an updated draft of their NECPs by 30 June 2023, and the final version by 30 June 2024 unless they can justify that the current plan remains valid.
- On 1 January 2029 and every ten years thereafter, member states will need to submit a new final NECP covering each ten-year period, and a draft one year prior.
- On 3 July, only eight countries submitted their draft updated NECPs: Spain, Croatia, Slovenia, Finland, Denmark, Italy, Portugal and the Netherlands. We will keep monitoring this space as member states submit their NECPs and a more detailed analysis will follow accordingly.
The Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action entered into force
Deadline for member states to submit their draft NECPs for the period 2021-2030
EU Commission communicated an overall assessment and country-specific recommendations
Deadline for member states to submit their final NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit draft updated versions of their NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit final updated versions of the NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit draft NECPs covering the period 2031-2040
Deadline for member states to submit final NECPs covering the period 2031-2040
In a Nutshell
The Net Zero Industry Act (NZIA) is a legislative proposal from the European Commission from March 2023 that aims to provide a stable and simplified regulatory environment to support the scale-up of net zero technologies. The NZIA aims to reach a goal of at least 40% manufacturing capacity of strategic net zero technologies in the EU according to annual deployment needs.
The Act sets out enabling conditions, streamlined permitting processes, and one-stop shops for net zero technology manufacturing projects. It differentiates between ‘net zero technologies’ (at least TRL 8) and ‘innovative net zero technologies’ (lower TRL, and can benefit from regulatory sandboxes to foster innovation). It proposes a list of eight strategic net zero technologies that would benefit from even faster permitting process within what are defined as “net zero strategic projects”:
- Solar photovoltaic and solar thermal technologies,
- Onshore wind and offshore renewables,
- Heat pumps and geothermal energy,
- Electrolysers and fuel cells,
- Sustainable biogas/biomethane technologies,
- Carbon capture and storage (CCS),
- Grid technologies.
The Act establishes an annual EU CO2 injection capacity goal of 50 million tonnes. This goal will be adjusted when the regulation is incorporated into the EEA Agreement to account for additional capacity in Norway and Iceland and is expected to grow post-2030; according to the Commission’s estimates, the EU could need to capture up to 550 million tonnes of CO2 annually by 2050 to meet the net zero objective, including for carbon removals.
In one of the world’s firsts, oil and gas producers are subject to an individual contribution to this target, making them directly responsible for building and operating the newly mandated CO2 injection capacity. The contributions will be calculated based on a “pro-rata” basis, accounting for their share of oil and gas production within the EU during 2020-2023.
The Act also aims to facilitate access to markets through public procurement, auctions, and support for private demand. It focuses on ensuring the availability of skilled workforce and foresees net zero industrial partnerships with third countries.
What's on the Horizon?
The NZIA proposal by the European Commission has entered ordinary legislative procedure to reach a formal adoption by the European Parliament and the Council. The European Parliament Environment Committee (ENVI) will vote its opinion on the file in September, followed by the Industry Committee’s (ITRE) deliberation on its position in October. The Council is due to agree on its negotiating position (general approach) by early December. Soon after, trialogues negotiations between the EU co-legislators are expected to kick off.
To provide dedicated funding support to scale up clean technologies, the Commission was set to propose a European Sovereignty Fund by Summer 2023 within the context of the multi-annual financial framework (MFF). On 20 June, the Commission proposed, instead, to establish a ‘Strategic Technologies for Europe Platform’ (STEP), to provide an immediately available tool to member states. The STEP proposal will need to be approved by the European Parliament and Council.
As one pillar of a larger Green Deal Industrial Plan, the NZIA is meant to strengthen and support the EU’s capacity to reach its climate goals. It ensures Europe seizes the potential to be a world leader in the global net zero industry in the context of strong support for net zero technologies coming from different parts of the world, such as the United States’ IRA.
(Strategic) net zero technologies
The NZIA proposes key developments for net zero technologies. Two main aspects of the definition are particularly relevant: (1) the definition is not technology-neutral, it identifies key areas to be addressed, and further lists a family of eight strategic net-zero technologies, which benefit from even faster permitting, priority status, and in some circumstance of overriding public interest, and (2) net zero technologies must be at least Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 8. CDR is not explicitly listed as a strategic net zero technology, and the TRL 8 requirement would exclude most CDR methods. However, if based on TRL only, some could fall under the definition of ‘innovative net zero technologies’, e.g., some forms of direct air capture are considered TRL 7. This flaw of the proposal could be addressed by co-legislators by adding carbon removal in the definition of net zero technologies and in the related annex.
CO2 injection capacity target to incentivise CO2 storage infrastructure
The NZIA proposes a 50 million tonnes per year of CO2 injection capacity in the EU by 2030. The act rightly identifies the lack of storage capacity as one of the largest bottlenecks for CO2 capture investments. One of the key aspects of the act is the transparency of CO2 storage capacity, including the obligation for member states to make publicly available data on sites that can be permitted on their territory, as well as reporting on CO2 capture projects in progress, and their needs for injection and storage capacity. The NZIA clarifies that CO2 injection capacity will also be available to accommodate CDR, but provisions are not proposed to ensure the shared CO2 infrastructure can efficiently be used to accommodate both CCS and CDR methods. A comprehensive and coordinated approach to carbon management that considers both CCS and CDR is needed to ensure that limited CO2 storage capacity is used effectively to reach the EU’s climate neutrality targets. The target will need to be continuously reassessed to meet the storage needs in the EU, especially beyond 2030. Furthermore, separate provisions to ensure adequate transport infrastructure should be foreseen. The European Commission estimates that about 550 million tonnes of CO2 may need to be captured annually by 2050 to meet the net zero objective.
Oil and gas producers’ responsibility to develop the EU CO2 injection capacity has the potential to be a world-leading initiative
The NZIA Article 18 introduces an innovative obligation on oil and gas producers to take responsibility for building EU CO2 storage infrastructure subject to the EU’s injection capacity target. This obligation could introduce an element of producer responsibility for fossil fuel producers in a similar way as producers of packaging, car tires, and other products are required by law to take responsibility for the environmental footprint of end-of-life disposal. If confirmed, this provision would also allow the development of open carbon storage sources by mapping and hosting transparent, open data on carbon storage resources, much of which is held today by private companies. Critical details of this obligation, such as how different sources of CO2 for storage are prioritised or barred, which entities, beyond oil and gas producers, are required to build the CO2 infrastructure, and the procedures to determine their location remain open and need further attention.
Fresh funding is needed
The proposal establishes new initiatives, such as the “Net Zero Europe Platform”, that will discuss the financial needs of the net zero strategic projects and could be key in advising how the financing of these projects can be achieved. Beyond this, the NZIA is anchored in already existing funding mechanisms such as Innovation Fund, InvestEU, Horizon Europe, Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI), the Recovery and Resilience Facility, and Cohesion Policy programmes. Clarity on new and additional funding will be key, as bigger goals will require bigger means that can support the variety of CDR methods at different TRL stages.
The Green Deal Industrial Plan Communication
European Commission legislative proposal on the Net Zero Industry Act (NZIA)
Publication of Draft Report by MEP Christian Ehler
Deadline for submission of amendments – ENVI Committee
Deadline for submission of amendments – ITRE Committee
Deadline to provide feedback to the Commission on the NZIA proposal
ENVI vote on Committee’s Opinion
ITRE Committee vote
Council to adopt its general approach
- The Green Deal Industrial Plan, European Commission
- Investment needs assessment and funding availabilities to strengthen EU’s net zero technology manufacturing capacity, Commission Staff Document
- Making good on the “net” in net zero: Carbon Gap reaction to the Net-Zero Industry Act, 2023
- European Commission Staff Working Document on the Net-Zero Industry Act
- Carbon Gap’s feedback to NZIA Consultation
Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL on establishing a framework of measures for strengthening Europe’s net-zero technology products manufacturing ecosystem (Net Zero Industry Act)
Key Institutional Stakeholders
European CommissionDG Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (GROW)
European ParliamentCommittee responsible: ITRE Rapporteur: Christian Ehler (EPP, DE) Shadow rapporteur: Tsvetelina Penkova (S&D, BG) Shadow rapporteur: Christophe Grudler (Renew, FR) Shadow rapporteur: Damien Carême (Greens/EFA, FR) Shadow rapporteur: Marc Botenga (GUE/NGL, BE) Shadow rapporteur: Paolo Borchia (Identity& Democracy Group, IT) Shadow rapporteur: Evžen Tošenovský (European Conservatives and Reformists Group, CZ)
Council of the European UnionCouncil configuration: COMPET
In a Nutshell
The European Commission has proposed a voluntary regulatory framework for the certification of carbon removals (CRCF), which will be the first of its kind in width of covered CDR methods, pending adoption by co-legislators. The stated goal is to foster and accelerate the scale-up of sustainable carbon removals, which includes a wide variety of CDR methods to be applied by land managers, industries, and others to capture and store atmospheric or biogenic CO2, as well as fight greenwashing, and harmonise carbon removal market conditions.
The proposal includes and distinguishes 3 types of carbon removal categories: carbon farming (such as reforestation and soil carbon management), permanent carbon storage (such as BECCS and DACCS), and carbon storage in products (such as wood-based construction materials). In order to ensure the quality of carbon removals certified under the framework, removals need to meet several quality criteria (so-called “QU.A.L.ITY” criteria), covering the aspects of quantification, additionality, long-term storage, and sustainability.
Under the framework, the European Commission, assisted by an expert group, will develop methodologies for the certification of a range of carbon removal methods and recognise certification schemes. The certification schemes will have the obligation of listing certified removals in interoperable public registries, while certification bodies, supervised by Member States, will carry out certification audits and the issuing of certificates.
In its current state, the proposal does not align with scientifically widely accepted definitions of carbon removal as the definition also covers emissions reductions. It also does not outline any rules for how the carbon removal certificates generated under the framework could or should be used. The certificates could be used in corporate reporting, in contracts in supply chains, in voluntary markets, or to receive public support for carbon removal activities.
What's on the Horizon?
2023: In the next steps, the European Parliament rapporteur on the file (MEP Lidia Pereira, EPP, PT) will prepare her initial report, and discussions in the Parliament and Council will continue.
- The draft report is expected to be voted on in the Parliament’s Environment committee in September 2023 and then in its October plenary session.
- In the Council, a general approach on the text among EU Member States is expected in Autumn 2023.
2023: The expert group on carbon removals kicked off their work in March 2023. Among other tasks, the group will be providing technical advice to the Commission on the development of the methodologies under the CRCF.
2023: In parallel to the legislative process, work will be ongoing on detailed methodologies for different carbon removal activities that will be set out in Commission delegated acts.
Within one year of the implementation of CRCF, the Commission will have to assess the potential inclusion of carbon storage in products in scope of the LULUCF Regulation.
By 2026, the Commission will have to assess the potential inclusion of carbon removals with permanent storage in the EU ETS.
Aim of the file
The CRCF will be the EU’s first certification framework that focuses exclusively on carbon removals. The stated goal of the file is a certification framework which creates trust in the quality and reliability of certified carbon removals among carbon removal providers, certificate buyers, and the public. The proposed framework also aims to increase transparency in the field of carbon removal certification, by creating public registries and methodologies for a wide variety of carbon removal methods, while also outlining requirements for monitoring, reporting and verification. As a result, interest and willingness to fund carbon removal activities and purchase certificates are expected to increase, leading to an expansion of carbon removal activities by current and potential operators. If adopted by co-legislators, the framework will form the basis of recognising and rewarding land managers, industry, and other carbon removal activity operators for high-quality carbon removals and their contribution to reaching the EU’s climate change mitigation goals.
Meaning for climate goals
By establishing this framework, the European Union works towards reaching its goal of climate neutrality in 2050 and net-negative emissions thereafter, both of which will rely heavily on significantly upscaling carbon removal. As the first legislative file focusing primarily on carbon removals, it also contains a definition of which, in the current proposal, also includes emissions reductions. Furthermore, the proposal does not provide any rules around the potential uses of certificates. Potential uses envisioned by the Commission range from the use of certificates to access funding from policies, such as the CAP, to the use on voluntary carbon markets.
Room for improvement
- Eliminate ambiguity as to what is and is not a removal
The current definition of carbon removals in the proposal also includes emissions reductions from biogenic carbon pools, and is not aligned with broad scientific consensus (see e.g., IPCC definition). In order to avoid conflation of emissions reductions and removals, and to allow the CRCF to become a global model for carbon removal certification, emissions reductions need to be excluded from the definition.
- Ensure a strict separation between higher-durability and lower-durability removals
The currently proposed storage categories do not clearly differentiate CDR methods based on their carbon storage durability nor separate biological from geochemical storage media. Separation of these storage media is essential as the need and difficulty of MRV vary significantly between CDR methods based on their storage media.
- Equip the framework to track how carbon removal is used so inappropriate claims can be policed
The CRCF requires provisions determining permitted uses of carbon removal certificates and certified units, to prevent mitigation deterrence, greenwashing and the erosion of public trust, especially regarding compensation claims for fossil fuel emissions based on lower-durability removal certificates. The current proposal lacks guardrails as to which claims can be made based on the characteristics of generated certificates and the CDR methods used to generate them.
Communication on Sustainable Carbon Cycles by the European Commission announcing the development of the framework
Proposal for the certification framework adopted by the European Commission
First meeting of European Commission expert group on carbon removals
The AGRI Committee (committee for opinion) adopted its opinion on the file
ENVI Committee vote on the adoption of the ENVI report
General approach expected to be reached by Member States in the Council
Development of methodologies for certification of different carbon removal activities
Trilogues between EU institutions and provisional agreement expected
Expected entry into force of the CRCF
Commission report expected on the potential inclusion of carbon storage in products in scope of the LULUCF Regulation
Commission will have to assess the potential inclusion of carbon removals with permanent storage in the EU ETS
- Communication on Sustainable Carbon Cycles, European Commission
- Impact assessment accompanying the CRCF proposal, European Commission
- A Union certification framework for carbon removals, European Parliament briefing, 2023
- Carbon Gap White Paper: A Guide to Certifying Carbon Removal, 2022
- Carbon Gap reaction to the European Commission proposal on carbon removal certification, 2022
Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL establishing a Union certification framework for carbon removals
Key Institutional Stakeholders
European CommissionDG Climate Action (CLIMA), Unit CLIMA C.3: Low Carbon Solutions (III): Land economy and carbon removals
European ParliamentCommittee responsible: ENVI Rapporteur: Lídia Pereira (EPP, PT) Shadow rapporteur: Tiemo Wölken (S&D, DE) Shadow rapporteur: Emma Wiesner (Renew, SE) Shadow rapporteur: Ville Niinistö (Greens/EFA, FI) Shadow rapporteur: Anna Zalewska (ECR, PL) Shadow rapporteur: Mick Wallace (GUE/NGL, IE)
Council of the European UnionCouncil configuration: ENV
In a Nutshell
The Directive on the geological storage of CO2 (CCS Directive) establishes a regulatory framework for the safe and responsible development and operation of geological carbon dioxide (CO2) storage in the EU. It applies to commercial scale facilities with a capacity of 100 kilotonnes per year (ktCO2/yr) or more.
One of the key elements of the Directive is a permit regime for CO2 storage. The rules set out minimum requirements for selecting CO2 storage sites to ensure there is no significant risk of reversal or damage to health or the environment. Operators are required to demonstrate financial security prior to injecting CO2 to cover potential liabilities and must closely monitor the sites during the operational phase to ensure long-term integrity and containment of stored CO2.
The Directive also introduces a liability mechanism in case of a reversal of CO2 out of storage, where the operator must take corrective measures. It also integrates CO2 storage into existing EU legislation. Environmental Liability Directive provides liability rules for environmental damage; and operators are included in the Emission Trading Scheme (ETS). If emissions are captured, transported, and stored in compliance with the CCS Directive, they are considered as not emitted under the ETS. In the case of reversal, ETS allowances must be surrendered. Liability for damage to health and property is left for regulation at Member State level.
The entire lifetime of storage sites is another key element. The Directive prescribes the decommissioning requirements for sites at and after closure and provides for the transfer of liabilities from the storage operator to the Member State 20 years after closure of sites.
While the CCS Directive was introduced to provide an enabling framework for carbon capture and storage (CCS), it governs any instance of geological storage of CO2. This includes the storage portion of any carbon dioxide removal (CDR) activities which store pure gaseous/supercritical CO2, e.g., bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and direct air capture with carbon storage (DACCS).
What's on the Horizon?
2023: The Commission is reviewing the CCS Directive’s implementation guidance documents to address the latest technical and market developments and remove the ambiguities identified during the implementation of the first CCS deployments.
2023: The Commission is expected to share the results of two studies on CO2 infrastructure, one analysing an outline of the CO2 transport and storage infrastructure in 2030 and 2040, and the other analysing the regulatory environment, which will inform the upcoming Communication on industrial carbon management.
June 2023: National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP) expected. The Commission has requested that Member States include a dedicated chapter on geological storage of CO2, addressing the need for CO2 capture in hard-to-abate industrial sectors, but also considering ongoing or planned biogenic carbon and direct air capture projects.
Q3-Q4 2023: Member States need to report to the European Commission on the implementation of the Directive by April 2023, which will be followed by the Commission’s fourth Implementation Report.
Q4 2023: A Communication on industrial carbon management is expected from the Commission in Q4, preceded by a public consultation (timing tbd). The strategy will address the prevailing lack of CO2 infrastructure development in Europe, and as such may intersect with the CCS Directive.
The CCS Directive was originally designed to assist the EU in meeting its CO2 reduction obligations through capture and geological storage of CO2. It is an essential tool to enable the activities for CO2 management and, as such, an important tool in the CDR regulatory toolkit.
The CCS Directive governs the geological formations in which carbon can be stored. Member States are required to cooperate with the Commission to establish maps of existing, potential, and closed geological storage sites. The Directive also requires operators and competent authorities to establish 3D dynamic models of storage complexes, including protected natural areas. These data offer a critical resource for developing Europe’s carbon management plans, including CDR.
Transborder CO2 movement
The Directive also includes provisions for the transport of CO2 across borders and for storage reservoirs which span multiple countries. This is an important base on which to develop a modular CDR ecosystem where facilities employing CO2 capture and storage sites might be located across Europe with CO2 transported across national borders.
The recent revision (2022) of the Trans-European Networks for Energy (TEN-E) Regulation, which identifies priority corridors and priority thematic areas to develop and interconnect, updated the infrastructure categories eligible for support allowing CO2 transport infrastructure to qualify as a Project of Common Interest (PCI). 14 such projects have already been submitted to the PCI selection.
The implementation of the Directive varies across Europe. In addition to the restrictions allowing CO2 storage only in geological formations which are permanently unsuitable for other purposes (see the EU’s Water Policy), Member States retain the right to not allow geological storage in parts or all of their territory (for example, Germany currently limits the amount of CO2 that can be geologically stored annually to 4 million tonnes and does not allow new demonstration projects to be approved, meaning there is no underground geological storage of CO2 taking place). CDR operators dependent on geological storage will have to navigate this fragmented regulatory landscape.
The information on the practical application of the Directive is limited, despite it being in force for more than 10 years. The uptake of CCS in Europe has been slower than predicted and the rules have not had the chance to demonstrate their effectiveness. The lack of CCS projects has largely been due to the low carbon price and absence of policy support measures to enable the deployment of CCS. Still, the Directive requires a rigorous reviewing process prior to permitting, which makes for intensive work on both storage applicants’ and the national authorities’ side. In any event, the European Commission’s upcoming strategic vision for CCS and CCU might yet provide the necessary fuel to jumpstart the industry and stress test the CCS Directive.
CCS Directive signed into law
Decision 2018/853 empowers the Commission to amend the Annexes of the CCS Directive via delegated acts to adapt to technical and scientific progress
Revision of the CCS Directive implementation guidance documents
Results expected from two studies on the CO2 transport and storage infrastructure and the regulatory environment, to inform the upcoming Communication on CCS and CCU
Member States will report to the Commission on the implementation of the CCS Directive
Member States will update National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP), with a dedicated chapter on geological storage of CO2
Fourth CCS Directive Implementation Report from the Commission
Expected publication of the Communication on CCS and CCU
- Carbon Capture and Storage, European Commission
- Implementation report of the CCS Directive, European Commission, 2019
- Identification and analysis of promising carbon capture and utilisation technologies, including their regulatory aspects, study for the European Commission, 2019
Directive 2009/31/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 April 2009 on the geological storage of carbon dioxide and amending Council Directive 85/337/EEC, European Parliament and Council Directives 2000/60/EC, 2001/80/EC, 2004/35/EC, 2006/12/EC, 2008/1/EC and Regulation (EC) No 1013/2006 (Text with EEA relevance)