In a Nutshell
The National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) outline the EU member states’ 2021-2030 strategy to meet the 2030 energy and climate targets. The Regulation on the governance of the energy union and climate action (EU) 2018/1999, adopted in 2018, requires member states to regularly submit NECPs and update them. It also sets the EU Commission review process of the plans.
Member states outline how they will address energy efficiency, renewables, greenhouse gas emissions reductions, interconnections, and research and innovation in their NECP. A common template is used to facilitate transborder collaboration and efficiency gains.
So far, the 2030 climate and energy targets aim for at least 55% of greenhouse gas emissions reductions, 32% of renewable energy within the total energy production mix and 32.5% improvement in energy efficiency. The Fit-for-55 package called for more ambitious targets, some of which are still under review, including a 42.5% share of renewable energy within the Renewable Energy Directive.
The current versions of the NECPs, submitted at the end of 2019, massively overlook the role of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in their ability to achieve their targets. None of the 27 plans include targets for CDR, nor do they take into consideration novel carbon removal methods. Even conventional CDR methods such as afforestation or soil carbon sequestration are not properly addressed in the majority of NECPs.
This is concerning. To reach the scale of removals needed to reach net zero emissions by 2050, CDR capacities must be scaled up now. Member states should seize the opportunity to include CDR in their NECPs. In parallel, the inclusion of CDR in the 2040 targets would set the course until 2050.
What's on the Horizon?
- As set by the Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action, member states must have submitted an updated draft of their NECPs by 30 June 2023, and the final version by 30 June 2024 unless they can justify that the current plan remains valid.
- On 1 January 2029 and every ten years thereafter, member states will need to submit a new final NECP covering each ten-year period, and a draft one year prior.
- On 3 July, only eight countries submitted their draft updated NECPs: Spain, Croatia, Slovenia, Finland, Denmark, Italy, Portugal and the Netherlands. We will keep monitoring this space as member states submit their NECPs and a more detailed analysis will follow accordingly.
The Regulation on the Governance of the Energy Union and Climate Action entered into force
Deadline for member states to submit their draft NECPs for the period 2021-2030
EU Commission communicated an overall assessment and country-specific recommendations
Deadline for member states to submit their final NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit draft updated versions of their NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit final updated versions of the NECPs
Deadline for member states to submit draft NECPs covering the period 2031-2040
Deadline for member states to submit final NECPs covering the period 2031-2040
In a Nutshell
The Net Zero Industry Act (NZIA) is a legislative proposal from the European Commission from March 2023 that aims to provide a stable and simplified regulatory environment to support the scale-up of net zero technologies. The NZIA aims to reach a goal of at least 40% manufacturing capacity of strategic net zero technologies in the EU according to annual deployment needs.
The Act sets out enabling conditions, streamlined permitting processes, and one-stop shops for net zero technology manufacturing projects. It differentiates between ‘net zero technologies’ (at least TRL 8) and ‘innovative net zero technologies’ (lower TRL, and can benefit from regulatory sandboxes to foster innovation). It proposes a list of eight strategic net zero technologies that would benefit from even faster permitting process within what are defined as “net zero strategic projects”:
- Solar photovoltaic and solar thermal technologies,
- Onshore wind and offshore renewables,
- Heat pumps and geothermal energy,
- Electrolysers and fuel cells,
- Sustainable biogas/biomethane technologies,
- Carbon capture and storage (CCS),
- Grid technologies.
The Act establishes an annual EU CO2 injection capacity goal of 50 million tonnes. This goal will be adjusted when the regulation is incorporated into the EEA Agreement to account for additional capacity in Norway and Iceland and is expected to grow post-2030; according to the Commission’s estimates, the EU could need to capture up to 550 million tonnes of CO2 annually by 2050 to meet the net zero objective, including for carbon removals.
In one of the world’s firsts, oil and gas producers are subject to an individual contribution to this target, making them directly responsible for building and operating the newly mandated CO2 injection capacity. The contributions will be calculated based on a “pro-rata” basis, accounting for their share of oil and gas production within the EU during 2020-2023.
The Act also aims to facilitate access to markets through public procurement, auctions, and support for private demand. It focuses on ensuring the availability of skilled workforce and foresees net zero industrial partnerships with third countries.
What's on the Horizon?
The NZIA proposal by the European Commission has entered ordinary legislative procedure to reach a formal adoption by the European Parliament and the Council. The European Parliament Environment Committee (ENVI) will vote its opinion on the file in September, followed by the Industry Committee’s (ITRE) deliberation on its position in October. The Council is due to agree on its negotiating position (general approach) by early December. Soon after, trialogues negotiations between the EU co-legislators are expected to kick off.
To provide dedicated funding support to scale up clean technologies, the Commission was set to propose a European Sovereignty Fund by Summer 2023 within the context of the multi-annual financial framework (MFF). On 20 June, the Commission proposed, instead, to establish a ‘Strategic Technologies for Europe Platform’ (STEP), to provide an immediately available tool to member states. The STEP proposal will need to be approved by the European Parliament and Council.
As one pillar of a larger Green Deal Industrial Plan, the NZIA is meant to strengthen and support the EU’s capacity to reach its climate goals. It ensures Europe seizes the potential to be a world leader in the global net zero industry in the context of strong support for net zero technologies coming from different parts of the world, such as the United States’ IRA.
(Strategic) net zero technologies
The NZIA proposes key developments for net zero technologies. Two main aspects of the definition are particularly relevant: (1) the definition is not technology-neutral, it identifies key areas to be addressed, and further lists a family of eight strategic net-zero technologies, which benefit from even faster permitting, priority status, and in some circumstance of overriding public interest, and (2) net zero technologies must be at least Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 8. CDR is not explicitly listed as a strategic net zero technology, and the TRL 8 requirement would exclude most CDR methods. However, if based on TRL only, some could fall under the definition of ‘innovative net zero technologies’, e.g., some forms of direct air capture are considered TRL 7. This flaw of the proposal could be addressed by co-legislators by adding carbon removal in the definition of net zero technologies and in the related annex.
CO2 injection capacity target to incentivise CO2 storage infrastructure
The NZIA proposes a 50 million tonnes per year of CO2 injection capacity in the EU by 2030. The act rightly identifies the lack of storage capacity as one of the largest bottlenecks for CO2 capture investments. One of the key aspects of the act is the transparency of CO2 storage capacity, including the obligation for member states to make publicly available data on sites that can be permitted on their territory, as well as reporting on CO2 capture projects in progress, and their needs for injection and storage capacity. The NZIA clarifies that CO2 injection capacity will also be available to accommodate CDR, but provisions are not proposed to ensure the shared CO2 infrastructure can efficiently be used to accommodate both CCS and CDR methods. A comprehensive and coordinated approach to carbon management that considers both CCS and CDR is needed to ensure that limited CO2 storage capacity is used effectively to reach the EU’s climate neutrality targets. The target will need to be continuously reassessed to meet the storage needs in the EU, especially beyond 2030. Furthermore, separate provisions to ensure adequate transport infrastructure should be foreseen. The European Commission estimates that about 550 million tonnes of CO2 may need to be captured annually by 2050 to meet the net zero objective.
Oil and gas producers’ responsibility to develop the EU CO2 injection capacity has the potential to be a world-leading initiative
The NZIA Article 18 introduces an innovative obligation on oil and gas producers to take responsibility for building EU CO2 storage infrastructure subject to the EU’s injection capacity target. This obligation could introduce an element of producer responsibility for fossil fuel producers in a similar way as producers of packaging, car tires, and other products are required by law to take responsibility for the environmental footprint of end-of-life disposal. If confirmed, this provision would also allow the development of open carbon storage sources by mapping and hosting transparent, open data on carbon storage resources, much of which is held today by private companies. Critical details of this obligation, such as how different sources of CO2 for storage are prioritised or barred, which entities, beyond oil and gas producers, are required to build the CO2 infrastructure, and the procedures to determine their location remain open and need further attention.
Fresh funding is needed
The proposal establishes new initiatives, such as the “Net Zero Europe Platform”, that will discuss the financial needs of the net zero strategic projects and could be key in advising how the financing of these projects can be achieved. Beyond this, the NZIA is anchored in already existing funding mechanisms such as Innovation Fund, InvestEU, Horizon Europe, Important Projects of Common European Interest (IPCEI), the Recovery and Resilience Facility, and Cohesion Policy programmes. Clarity on new and additional funding will be key, as bigger goals will require bigger means that can support the variety of CDR methods at different TRL stages.
The Green Deal Industrial Plan Communication
European Commission legislative proposal on the Net Zero Industry Act (NZIA)
Publication of Draft Report by MEP Christian Ehler
Deadline for submission of amendments – ENVI Committee
Deadline for submission of amendments – ITRE Committee
Deadline to provide feedback to the Commission on the NZIA proposal
ENVI vote on Committee’s Opinion
ITRE Committee vote
Council to adopt its general approach
- The Green Deal Industrial Plan, European Commission
- Investment needs assessment and funding availabilities to strengthen EU’s net zero technology manufacturing capacity, Commission Staff Document
- Making good on the “net” in net zero: Carbon Gap reaction to the Net-Zero Industry Act, 2023
- European Commission Staff Working Document on the Net-Zero Industry Act
- Carbon Gap’s feedback to NZIA Consultation
Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL on establishing a framework of measures for strengthening Europe’s net-zero technology products manufacturing ecosystem (Net Zero Industry Act)
Key Institutional Stakeholders
European CommissionDG Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (GROW)
European ParliamentCommittee responsible: ITRE Rapporteur: Christian Ehler (EPP, DE) Shadow rapporteur: Tsvetelina Penkova (S&D, BG) Shadow rapporteur: Christophe Grudler (Renew, FR) Shadow rapporteur: Damien Carême (Greens/EFA, FR) Shadow rapporteur: Marc Botenga (GUE/NGL, BE) Shadow rapporteur: Paolo Borchia (Identity& Democracy Group, IT) Shadow rapporteur: Evžen Tošenovský (European Conservatives and Reformists Group, CZ)
Council of the European UnionCouncil configuration: COMPET
In a Nutshell
The Directive on the geological storage of CO2 (CCS Directive) establishes a regulatory framework for the safe and responsible development and operation of geological carbon dioxide (CO2) storage in the EU. It applies to commercial scale facilities with a capacity of 100 kilotonnes per year (ktCO2/yr) or more.
One of the key elements of the Directive is a permit regime for CO2 storage. The rules set out minimum requirements for selecting CO2 storage sites to ensure there is no significant risk of reversal or damage to health or the environment. Operators are required to demonstrate financial security prior to injecting CO2 to cover potential liabilities and must closely monitor the sites during the operational phase to ensure long-term integrity and containment of stored CO2.
The Directive also introduces a liability mechanism in case of a reversal of CO2 out of storage, where the operator must take corrective measures. It also integrates CO2 storage into existing EU legislation. Environmental Liability Directive provides liability rules for environmental damage; and operators are included in the Emission Trading Scheme (ETS). If emissions are captured, transported, and stored in compliance with the CCS Directive, they are considered as not emitted under the ETS. In the case of reversal, ETS allowances must be surrendered. Liability for damage to health and property is left for regulation at Member State level.
The entire lifetime of storage sites is another key element. The Directive prescribes the decommissioning requirements for sites at and after closure and provides for the transfer of liabilities from the storage operator to the Member State 20 years after closure of sites.
While the CCS Directive was introduced to provide an enabling framework for carbon capture and storage (CCS), it governs any instance of geological storage of CO2. This includes the storage portion of any carbon dioxide removal (CDR) activities which store pure gaseous/supercritical CO2, e.g., bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and direct air capture with carbon storage (DACCS).
What's on the Horizon?
2023: The Commission is reviewing the CCS Directive’s implementation guidance documents to address the latest technical and market developments and remove the ambiguities identified during the implementation of the first CCS deployments.
2023: The Commission is expected to share the results of two studies on CO2 infrastructure, one analysing an outline of the CO2 transport and storage infrastructure in 2030 and 2040, and the other analysing the regulatory environment, which will inform the upcoming Communication on industrial carbon management.
June 2023: National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP) expected. The Commission has requested that Member States include a dedicated chapter on geological storage of CO2, addressing the need for CO2 capture in hard-to-abate industrial sectors, but also considering ongoing or planned biogenic carbon and direct air capture projects.
Q3-Q4 2023: Member States need to report to the European Commission on the implementation of the Directive by April 2023, which will be followed by the Commission’s fourth Implementation Report.
Q4 2023: A Communication on industrial carbon management is expected from the Commission in Q4, preceded by a public consultation (timing tbd). The strategy will address the prevailing lack of CO2 infrastructure development in Europe, and as such may intersect with the CCS Directive.
The CCS Directive was originally designed to assist the EU in meeting its CO2 reduction obligations through capture and geological storage of CO2. It is an essential tool to enable the activities for CO2 management and, as such, an important tool in the CDR regulatory toolkit.
The CCS Directive governs the geological formations in which carbon can be stored. Member States are required to cooperate with the Commission to establish maps of existing, potential, and closed geological storage sites. The Directive also requires operators and competent authorities to establish 3D dynamic models of storage complexes, including protected natural areas. These data offer a critical resource for developing Europe’s carbon management plans, including CDR.
Transborder CO2 movement
The Directive also includes provisions for the transport of CO2 across borders and for storage reservoirs which span multiple countries. This is an important base on which to develop a modular CDR ecosystem where facilities employing CO2 capture and storage sites might be located across Europe with CO2 transported across national borders.
The recent revision (2022) of the Trans-European Networks for Energy (TEN-E) Regulation, which identifies priority corridors and priority thematic areas to develop and interconnect, updated the infrastructure categories eligible for support allowing CO2 transport infrastructure to qualify as a Project of Common Interest (PCI). 14 such projects have already been submitted to the PCI selection.
The implementation of the Directive varies across Europe. In addition to the restrictions allowing CO2 storage only in geological formations which are permanently unsuitable for other purposes (see the EU’s Water Policy), Member States retain the right to not allow geological storage in parts or all of their territory (for example, Germany currently limits the amount of CO2 that can be geologically stored annually to 4 million tonnes and does not allow new demonstration projects to be approved, meaning there is no underground geological storage of CO2 taking place). CDR operators dependent on geological storage will have to navigate this fragmented regulatory landscape.
The information on the practical application of the Directive is limited, despite it being in force for more than 10 years. The uptake of CCS in Europe has been slower than predicted and the rules have not had the chance to demonstrate their effectiveness. The lack of CCS projects has largely been due to the low carbon price and absence of policy support measures to enable the deployment of CCS. Still, the Directive requires a rigorous reviewing process prior to permitting, which makes for intensive work on both storage applicants’ and the national authorities’ side. In any event, the European Commission’s upcoming strategic vision for CCS and CCU might yet provide the necessary fuel to jumpstart the industry and stress test the CCS Directive.
CCS Directive signed into law
Decision 2018/853 empowers the Commission to amend the Annexes of the CCS Directive via delegated acts to adapt to technical and scientific progress
Revision of the CCS Directive implementation guidance documents
Results expected from two studies on the CO2 transport and storage infrastructure and the regulatory environment, to inform the upcoming Communication on CCS and CCU
Member States will report to the Commission on the implementation of the CCS Directive
Member States will update National Energy and Climate Plans (NECP), with a dedicated chapter on geological storage of CO2
Fourth CCS Directive Implementation Report from the Commission
Expected publication of the Communication on CCS and CCU
- Carbon Capture and Storage, European Commission
- Implementation report of the CCS Directive, European Commission, 2019
- Identification and analysis of promising carbon capture and utilisation technologies, including their regulatory aspects, study for the European Commission, 2019
Directive 2009/31/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 23 April 2009 on the geological storage of carbon dioxide and amending Council Directive 85/337/EEC, European Parliament and Council Directives 2000/60/EC, 2001/80/EC, 2004/35/EC, 2006/12/EC, 2008/1/EC and Regulation (EC) No 1013/2006 (Text with EEA relevance)
Key Institutional Stakeholders
European CommissionDG Climate Action (CLIMA), Unit C.2: Low Carbon Solutions (II): Research & Low Carbon Technology Deployment DG Energy (ENER), Unit C.2: Decarbonisation and Sustainability of Energy Sources Information Exchange Group: brings together the competent authorities from Member States and the Commission to exchange information on developments in the sector covered by the Directive
In a Nutshell
The Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) is one of the three central pillars of EU climate policy, together with the LULUCF Regulation and the EU ETS. The ESR primarily governs greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from sectors currently not covered by the EU ETS, including transport, buildings, agriculture, and non-ETS industry and waste, which generate nearly 60% of total EU GHG emissions. It spans all EU Member States, as well as Iceland and Norway.
The original ESR, adopted in 2018, foresaw overall emissions reductions across all EU member states in the covered sectors by 30% in 2030 below 2005 levels. The 2021 proposed revision is part of the ‘Fit for 55′ package, which aims to reduce EU-wide net GHG emissions by 55% in 2030 below 1990 levels and to decrease GHG emissions in the sectors covered by ESR to 40% by 2030 below 2005 levels (compared with the existing target of a 29% emission reduction).
The Regulation establishes binding emissions reduction targets for Member States, which differ from country to country, primarily depending on the countries’ GDP per capita (spanning from 10% to 50%). The new proposal aims to establish more ambitious national targets for 2023-2030. Together with the LULUCF Regulation and the ETS, the ESR allows for flexibilities in net emissions reductions among the three policies to achieve climate change mitigation goals more efficiently.
While the ESR is not primarily concerned with carbon removals, it allows countries to make use of excess carbon removals achieved in the LULUCF sector to reach their ESR targets. The EU-wide maximum for carbon removals, which may be used to reach the 55% emissions reduction goal, is limited to net 225 million tons of CO2e until 2030.
What's on the Horizon?
The provisional political agreement reached between the European Parliament and Council in December 2022 needs to be formally adopted before the Regulation can enter into force:
- 14/03/2023: Formal adoption by the European Parliament.
- 28/03/2023: Formal adoption by the Council of the European Union.
- 26/04/2023: Publication in the Official Journal of the European Union.
17/05/2023: Entry into force.
Agreed changes compared to the Commission proposal include eliminating an initially proposed additional voluntary reserve of unused LULUCF removal credits that would have been allowed to count towards Member States’ 2030 ESR target.
Together with the ETS and LULUCF, the ESR is one of the three central pieces of EU climate legislation, which steer efforts to reduce total greenhouse gas emissions by 55% in 2030 below 1990 levels as outlined in the European Climate Law. All three have been revised to increase ambition and ratchet up the 2030 target through the ‘Fit for 55’ package and negative emissions will potentially be able to play a role in each of them.
A key aspect of the ESR is the flexibilities of countries to reach their targets more efficiently. These flexibilities are intended to decrease a country’s burden, and give the ESR some characteristics of a carbon market:
1.Temporal and international flexibilities:
- Banking: If a country’s GHG emissions are lower than its annual allocation under the ESR, it may use part of its surplus in the following years and until 2030;
- Borrowing: If a country’s GHG emissions are higher than its annual allocation under the ESR, it may borrow from the following year’s allocation (up to 7.5% of the annual allocations from 2021 to 2025 and up to 5% from 2026 to 2030);
- Trading: Countries may buy or sell allocations to meet their annual targets (up to 10% of their annual allocations from 2021 to 2025 and 15% from 2026 to 2030).
2. Sectoral flexibilities:
- ETS and ESR: Nine Member States’ allowances (with national reduction targets above the EU average and their cost-efficient reduction potential, and Malta) may make use of a limited percentage of ETS emissions to reach their ESR reduction targets;
- LULUCF and ESR: Countries may use a constrained number of net carbon removals in the LULUCF sector to meet their emission reduction targets under the ETS.
Under the proposed amendment of the ESR, the total net carbon removals, which may be considered for reaching ESR targets, may not exceed 225 Mt CO2e across all Member States. Previously the maximum was 280 Mt CO2e. The quantity of net carbon removal was also determined and limited for each Member State individually. To avoid emission reduction deterrence, the new proposal also foresees additionally capping the use of carbon removals under the ESR in two time periods, the maximum allowance equally split between 2021-2025 and 2026-2030.
Entry into force of the original Effort Sharing Regulation
Commission Implementing Decision setting out annual emission allocations of the Member States for 2021- 2030
Proposal to revise the Effort Sharing Regulation as part of the Fit for 55 package
Provisional political agreement between co-legislators on the revised Effort Sharing Regulation
- Effort sharing: Member States’ emission targets, European Commission
- Revising the Effort-sharing Regulation for 2021-2030, European Parliament briefing, 2023
- Revision of the effort sharing regulation explained, European Council
Proposal for a REGULATION OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL amending Regulation (EU) 2018/842 on binding annual greenhouse gas emission reductions by Member States from 2021 to 2030 contributing to climate action to meet commitments under the Paris Agreement